Lincoln Parish
Hotel Booking Cancellation Prediction Using Applied Bayesian Models
Jishan, Md Asifuzzaman, Singh, Vikas, Ghosh, Ayan Kumar, Alam, Md Shahabub, Mahmud, Khan Raqib, Paul, Bijan
This study applies Bayesian models to predict hotel booking cancellations, a key challenge affecting resource allocation, revenue, and customer satisfaction in the hospitality industry. Using a Kaggle dataset with 36,285 observations and 17 features, Bayesian Logistic Regression and Beta-Binomial models were implemented. The logistic model, applied to 12 features and 5,000 randomly selected observations, outperformed the Beta-Binomial model in predictive accuracy. Key predictors included the number of adults, children, stay duration, lead time, car parking space, room type, and special requests. Model evaluation using Leave-One-Out Cross-Validation (LOO-CV) confirmed strong alignment between observed and predicted outcomes, demonstrating the model's robustness. Special requests and parking availability were found to be the strongest predictors of cancellation. This Bayesian approach provides a valuable tool for improving booking management and operational efficiency in the hotel industry.
A Survey of Blockchain, Artificial Intelligence, and Edge Computing for Web 3.0
Zhu, Jianjun, Li, Fan, Chen, Jinyuan
Web 3.0, as the third generation of the World Wide Web, aims to solve contemporary problems of trust, centralization, and data ownership. Driven by the latest advances in cutting-edge technologies, Web 3.0 is moving towards a more open, decentralized, intelligent, and interconnected network. However, increasingly widespread data breaches have raised awareness of online privacy and security of personal data. Additionally, since Web 3.0 is a sophisticated and complex convergence, the technical details behind it are not as clear as the characteristics it presents. In this survey, we conduct an in-depth exploration of Web 3.0 from the perspectives of blockchain, artificial intelligence, and edge computing. Specifically, we begin with summarizing the evolution of the Internet and providing an overview of these three key technological factors. Afterward, we provide a thorough analysis of each technology separately, including its relevance to Web 3.0, key technology components, and practical applications. We also propose decentralized storage and computing solutions by exploring the integration of technologies. Finally, we highlight the key challenges alongside potential research directions. Through the combination and mutual complementation of multiple technologies, Web 3.0 is expected to return more control and ownership of data and digital assets back to users.
Physics-Informed Neural Network Method for Solving One-Dimensional Advection Equation Using PyTorch
Vadyala, Shashank Reddy, Betgeri, Sai Nethra
Numerical solutions to the equation for advection are determined using different finite-difference approximations and physics-informed neural networks (PINNs) under conditions that allow an analytical solution. Their accuracy is examined by comparing them to the analytical solution. We used a machine learning framework like PyTorch to implement PINNs. PINNs approach allows training neural networks while respecting the PDEs as a strong constraint in the optimization as apposed to making them part of the loss function. In standard small-scale circulation simulations, it is shown that the conventional approach incorporates a pseudo diffusive effect that is almost as large as the effect of the turbulent diffusion model; hence the numerical solution is rendered inconsistent with the PDEs. This oscillation causes inaccuracy and computational uncertainty. Of all the schemes tested, only the PINNs approximation accurately predicted the outcome. We assume that the PINNs approach can transform the physics simulation area by allowing real-time physics simulation and geometry optimization without costly and time-consuming simulations on large supercomputers.
Proposing a two-step Decision Support System (TPIS) based on Stacked ensemble classifier for early and low cost (step-1) and final (step-2) differential diagnosis of Mycobacterium Tuberculosis from non-tuberculosis Pneumonia
Khatibi, Toktam, Farahani, Ali, Sarmadian, Hossein
Background: Mycobacterium Tuberculosis (TB) is an infectious bacterial disease presenting similar symptoms to pneumonia; therefore, differentiating between TB and pneumonia is challenging. Therefore, the main aim of this study is proposing an automatic method for differential diagnosis of TB from Pneumonia. Methods: In this study, a two-step decision support system named TPIS is proposed for differential diagnosis of TB from pneumonia based on stacked ensemble classifiers. The first step of our proposed model aims at early diagnosis based on low-cost features including demographic characteristics and patient symptoms (including 18 features). TPIS second step makes the final decision based on the meta features extracted in the first step, the laboratory tests and chest radiography reports. This retrospective study considers 199 patient medical records for patients suffering from TB or pneumonia, which has been registered in a hospital in Arak, Iran. Results: Experimental results show that TPIS outperforms the compared machine learning methods for early differential diagnosis of pulmonary tuberculosis from pneumonia with AUC of 90.26 and accuracy of 91.37 and final decision making with AUC of 92.81 and accuracy of 93.89. Conclusions: The main advantage of early diagnosis is beginning the treatment procedure for confidently diagnosed patients as soon as possible and preventing latency in treatment. Therefore, early diagnosis reduces the maturation of late treatment of both diseases.
Classifying Unordered Feature Sets with Convolutional Deep Averaging Networks
Gardner, Andrew, Kanno, Jinko, Duncan, Christian A., Selmic, Rastko R.
We propose convolutional deep averaging networks (CDANs) for classifying and learning feature representations of datasets containing instances with unordered features, where each feature is considered a tuple composed of one or more values. CDANs accept variable-size input and are invariant to permutations of the input's order. In addition, as a side-effect of the training process, CDANs learn discriminative, nonlinear embeddings of individual input elements into a space of chosen dimensionality. Contrary to their name, which is inspired by the work of Iyyer et al. [11], CDANs could perhaps be more accurately termed convolutional deep pooling networks as we also consider the effects of functions other than averaging such as taking element-wise maximums or sums. A. Contributions We propose CDANs for classifying unordered feature sets. We show that a CDAN with nonlinear embeddings is competitive with and perhaps even superior to recurrent neural networks (RNNs) and known permutation-invariant architectures for classifying instances containing variablesize sets of unordered features. We also find that the type of pooling plays a significant role in determining the efficacy of the network with sum-pooling clearly outperforming maxand average-pooling.
Louisiana Tech University computer scientist to present groundbreaking research
IMAGE: Dr. Ben Choi, associate professor of computer science at Louisiana Tech University, will present his research on a groundbreaking new technology that has the potential to revolutionize the computing industry... view more RUSTON, La. - Dr. Ben Choi, associate professor of computer science at Louisiana Tech University, will present his research on a groundbreaking new technology that has the potential to revolutionize the computing industry during a keynote speech next month at the International Conference on Measurement Instrumentation and Electronics. Choi will present on a foundational architecture for designing and building computers, which will utilize multiple values rather than binary as used by current computers. The many-valued logic computers should provide faster computation by increasing the speed of processing for microprocessors and the speed of data transfer between the processors and the memory as well as increasing the capacity of the memory. This technology has the potential to redefine the computing industry, which is constantly trying to increase the speed of computation and, in recent years, has run short of options. By providing a new hardware approach, the technology will push the speed limit of computing using a progressive approach which will move from two values to four values, then to eight values, then to 16 values, and so on. Future computers could be built using this many-valued approach.